Global Bayesian Dynamics, LLC : SBF (Proprietary)

Year-to-Date
19.37%
Aug Performance
1.80%
Min Investment
$ 3,000k
Mgmt. Fee
0.75%
Perf. Fee
20.00%
Annualized Vol
8.65%
Sharpe (RFR=1%)
0.89
CAROR
8.63%
Assets
$ 3.3M
Worst DD
-12.83
S&P Correlation
0.14

Growth of 1,000 - VAMI

Monthly Performance

Export Data
Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD DD

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in trading commodity futures, options, and foreign exchange ("forex") is substantial.

Period Returns

Program / Index Aug Qtr YTD 1yr 3yr 5yr 10yr Since
10/2006
SBF (Proprietary) 1.80 11.36 19.37 15.80 41.10 62.73 91.02 191.34
S&P 500 -1.81 6.34 16.73 0.85 33.43 44.59 183.77 110.18
+/- S&P 500 3.61 5.02 2.64 14.95 7.67 18.14 -92.75 81.16

Strategy Description

Summary

The SBF program is a systematic global investment strategy. The program typically has low correlations to other active and passive investment programs because of its use of proprietary Bayesian formulation to forecasting, portfolio optimization, and risk management. The program incorporates... Read More

Account & Fees

Type
Managed Account
Minimum Investment
$ 3,000k
Trading Level Incremental Increase
$ 0k
CTA Max Funding Factor
1.00
Management Fee
0.75%
Performance Fee
20.00%
Average Commission
$0
Available to US Investors
Yes

Subscriptions

High Water Mark
Yes
Subscription Frequency
1-7 Days
Redemption Frequency
1-7 Days
Investor Requirements
QEP
Lock-up Period
0

Trading

Trading Frequency
450 RT/YR/$M
Avg. Margin-to-Equity
12%
Targeted Worst DD
Worst Peak-to-Trough
Sector Focus
Diversified Traders

Holding Periods

Over 12 Months
25.00%
4-12 Months
25.00%
1-3 Months
25.00%
1-30 Days
25.00%
Intraday
0%

Decision-Making

Discretionary
5.00%
Systematic
95.00%

Strategy

Counter-trend
10.00%
Fundamental
50.00%
Momentum
10.00%
Technical
20.00%
Trend-following
10.00%
Strategy Pie Chart

Composition

Stock Indices
34.00%
Currency Futures
33.00%
Interest Rates
33.00%
Composition Pie Chart

Summary

The SBF program is a systematic global investment strategy. The program typically has low correlations to other active and passive investment programs because of its use of proprietary Bayesian formulation to forecasting, portfolio optimization, and risk management. The program incorporates forecasting errors into its learning process and makes adjustments in the portfolio to adapt to structural changes occurring in the markets. It is designed to provide portable scalable alpha with superior risk-adjusted long-term returns. The portfolio takes futures positions in stock indices, bonds, currencies.

Risk Management

Risk Management is embedded within the investment process from forecasting throughout the ongoing monitoring. Forecasting The risk and expected return formulations are blended to produce a single consistent forecasting in GBD’s proprietary Bayesian forecasting model. Optimization The process aims to produce attractive returns while controlling the portfolio’s risk, liquidity, and turnover. Portfolio Review Non-quantifiable risk factors are carefully analyzed on a discretionary basis and addressed by management within this step. Execution & Monitoring GBD’s trading system disaggregates the portfolio sources of risk position by position on a daily basis. Any necessary adjustments are executed as needed.

   

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in trading commodity futures, options, and foreign exchange ("forex") is substantial.

Reward
Average RoR:
Max Gain:
Gain Frequency:
Average Gain:
Gain Deviation:
Risk
Standard Deviation:
Worst Loss:
Loss Frequency:
Average Loss:
Loss Deviation:
Reward/Risk
Sharpe Ratio: (RF=1%)
Skewness:
Kurtosis:
Reward
Compound RoR:
Average RoR:
Max Gain:
Gain Frequency:
Average Gain:
Gain Deviation:
Risk
Standard Deviation:
Worst Loss:
Loss Frequency:
Average Loss:
Loss Deviation:
Reward/Risk
Sharpe Ratio: (RF=1%)
Skewness:
Kurtosis:

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in trading commodity futures, options, and foreign exchange ("forex") is substantial.

Note: Figures shown in the Monthly column are the greatest figures (or worst for losses/drawdowns) for any particular month. The Annual figures are the greatest for any calendar year.

Drawdown Report

Depth Length (Mos.) Recovery (Mos.) Peak Valley
-12.83 19 15 1/1/2012 8/1/2013
-8.35 3 11 7/1/2008 10/1/2008
-6.96 6 6 9/1/2010 3/1/2011
-6.02 4 5 7/1/2018 11/1/2018
-5.38 2 3 1/1/2007 3/1/2007
-5.33 3 4 3/1/2015 6/1/2015
-4.11 2 2 1/1/2018 3/1/2018
-3.18 2 1 6/1/2007 8/1/2007
-3.03 2 1 10/1/2011 12/1/2011
-2.40 1 - 6/1/2019 7/1/2019
-1.68 1 1 5/1/2016 6/1/2016
-1.65 2 1 9/1/2016 11/1/2016
-1.54 3 4 9/1/2009 12/1/2009
-1.48 5 2 10/1/2015 3/1/2016
-1.12 1 2 5/1/2017 6/1/2017
-0.98 1 1 12/1/2016 1/1/2017
-0.78 1 2 10/1/2007 11/1/2007
-0.67 1 1 7/1/2016 8/1/2016
-0.22 1 1 5/1/2018 6/1/2018
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Consecutive Gains

Run-up Length (Mos.) Start End
30.55 8 12/1/2007 7/1/2008
17.45 3 4/1/2019 6/1/2019
14.00 7 3/1/2010 9/1/2010
13.61 4 10/1/2006 1/1/2007
13.32 6 10/1/2014 3/1/2015
9.86 4 2/1/2017 5/1/2017
9.07 3 4/1/2007 6/1/2007
8.93 7 7/1/2017 1/1/2018
7.73 4 7/1/2011 10/1/2011
7.31 4 6/1/2009 9/1/2009
6.70 3 9/1/2013 11/1/2013
5.89 3 5/1/2012 7/1/2012
5.60 2 4/1/2011 5/1/2011
5.29 2 4/1/2018 5/1/2018
5.27 3 12/1/2018 2/1/2019
5.12 1 7/1/2015 7/1/2015
4.44 2 4/1/2014 5/1/2014
4.30 2 9/1/2007 10/1/2007
4.18 2 1/1/2014 2/1/2014
3.85 2 9/1/2015 10/1/2015
3.18 2 3/1/2009 4/1/2009
3.16 1 1/1/2012 1/1/2012
2.64 1 8/1/2014 8/1/2014
2.47 1 12/1/2016 12/1/2016
2.41 1 7/1/2016 7/1/2016
2.40 2 11/1/2008 12/1/2008
2.38 1 7/1/2018 7/1/2018
2.37 2 4/1/2016 5/1/2016
1.96 1 9/1/2008 9/1/2008
1.80 1 8/1/2019 8/1/2019
1.52 1 9/1/2012 9/1/2012
1.48 1 4/1/2013 4/1/2013
1.15 1 9/1/2016 9/1/2016
1.02 1 7/1/2013 7/1/2013
0.91 1 2/1/2011 2/1/2011
0.90 1 1/1/2016 1/1/2016
0.73 1 1/1/2010 1/1/2010
0.58 1 5/1/2015 5/1/2015
0.46 1 2/1/2013 2/1/2013
0.16 1 12/1/2012 12/1/2012
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Consecutive Losses

Run-up Length (Mos.) Start End
-9.15 3 2/1/2012 4/1/2012
-6.02 4 8/1/2018 11/1/2018
-5.80 1 8/1/2008 8/1/2008
-5.60 4 10/1/2010 1/1/2011
-5.38 2 2/1/2007 3/1/2007
-4.58 1 10/1/2008 10/1/2008
-4.31 1 3/1/2013 3/1/2013
-4.11 2 2/1/2018 3/1/2018
-3.23 2 5/1/2013 6/1/2013
-3.18 2 7/1/2007 8/1/2007
-3.17 1 4/1/2015 4/1/2015
-3.14 1 1/1/2013 1/1/2013
-3.03 2 11/1/2011 12/1/2011
-2.79 1 6/1/2015 6/1/2015
-2.40 1 7/1/2019 7/1/2019
-2.33 1 3/1/2011 3/1/2011
-2.27 1 3/1/2014 3/1/2014
-2.10 2 6/1/2014 7/1/2014
-2.09 1 6/1/2011 6/1/2011
-1.68 1 6/1/2016 6/1/2016
-1.67 1 8/1/2013 8/1/2013
-1.65 2 10/1/2016 11/1/2016
-1.54 3 10/1/2009 12/1/2009
-1.42 1 8/1/2015 8/1/2015
-1.39 2 11/1/2015 12/1/2015
-1.33 1 5/1/2009 5/1/2009
-1.22 1 8/1/2012 8/1/2012
-1.12 1 6/1/2017 6/1/2017
-1.01 2 1/1/2009 2/1/2009
-0.98 2 2/1/2016 3/1/2016
-0.98 1 1/1/2017 1/1/2017
-0.97 1 9/1/2014 9/1/2014
-0.79 1 3/1/2019 3/1/2019
-0.78 1 11/1/2007 11/1/2007
-0.72 1 2/1/2010 2/1/2010
-0.67 1 8/1/2016 8/1/2016
-0.67 2 10/1/2012 11/1/2012
-0.55 1 12/1/2013 12/1/2013
-0.22 1 6/1/2018 6/1/2018
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Time Windows Analysis

 1 Month3 Month6 Month12 Month18 Month2 Year3 Year4 Year5 Year
Number of Periods155.00153.00150.00144.00138.00132.00120.00108.0096.00
Percent Profitable61.2971.9079.3384.0388.4189.3995.00100.00100.00
Average Period Return0.722.194.037.7611.7214.9621.6128.0334.07
Average Gain2.204.066.029.9113.9017.2622.9128.0334.07
Average Loss-1.64-2.60-3.63-3.55-4.95-4.35-3.10
Best Period12.0817.4528.5434.1440.3047.3055.6674.7279.21
Worst Period-5.80-9.15-9.12-8.27-11.77-8.44-8.471.474.46
Standard Deviation2.504.476.057.7910.1310.8213.7716.5717.45
Gain Standard Deviation1.883.635.006.478.538.9612.8416.5717.45
Loss Standard Deviation1.272.332.722.593.932.813.51
Sharpe Ratio (1%)0.260.430.580.871.011.201.351.451.66
Average Gain / Average Loss1.341.561.662.792.813.977.40
Profit / Loss Ratio2.163.996.3714.6921.4133.42140.61
Downside Deviation (10%)1.482.393.073.754.855.506.416.496.99
Downside Deviation (5%)1.311.942.232.082.552.261.580.260.08
Downside Deviation (0%)1.271.842.051.742.131.671.00
Sortino Ratio (10%)0.210.400.510.740.850.860.911.000.92
Sortino Ratio (5%)0.491.001.583.244.005.7211.7393.81375.95
Sortino Ratio (0%)0.571.191.974.455.518.9721.69

Top Performer Badges

Index Award Type Rank Performance Period

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in trading commodity futures, options, and foreign exchange ("forex") is substantial.