Category: Advisor Commentary

Commentary provided by Chad Burlet of Third Street AG Investments The last business day of June always brings the USDA’s June 1 Stocks Report and updated estimates of Planted Acres. The combination of those two reports, one for old and one for new crop, make it the most important agricultural report day of the year. This year […]

Commentary provided by Chad Burlet of Third Street AG Investments We’re more than three months past the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Yet, developments in the Black Sea and countries’ reactions to these developments continue to dominate our markets daily. The loss of Ukrainian sunseeds and sunoil prompted Indonesia to ban palm exports. The loss of Ukrainian wheat […]

Commentary provided by Brent Belote of Cayler Capital Cayler Capital had a slight pullback after our blockbuster performance in March, posting -5.53% for April (Past Performance not indicative of future results). Primary losses were from long oil positions. We have gone back to the sideline for the time being on oil directionally but still believe […]

Commentary provided by Chad Burlet of Third Street AG Investments Food security and domestic inflation have quickly become the top concerns of almost every country in the world. The loss of Ukrainian wheat exports caused several smaller countries to restrict their exports and encouraged several importing countries to increase their inventories. The loss of Ukrainian sunseed and […]

Commentary by John Knott of Numberline Capital Partners. The NLCP Macro-Economic Model up ticked slightly this month from 8.16 to 8.32. That was a little surprising. We expect it to continue to weaken “slowly” as we move into summer and the Fed tries to slow the economy down. There has been a lot of talk about […]

Does Powell want an equity market decline? It seems so. Former Fed chair Bernanke spent a decade delivering a policy of actively pursuing a “wealth effect” via quantitative easing (QE), hoping that stock market gains would unleash additional spending in the economy. It didn’t really work, only serving to exacerbate the wealth divide. It took […]

Commentary provided by Chad Burlet of Third Street AG Investments From a commodity perspective, March came in like a lion and went out like a lion. At the beginning of the month, the market was trying to grasp the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. At the end of the month, it was attempting to price […]

Commentary by John Knott of Numberline Capital Partners. Last month, we left off expecting a re-test of the price lows but firmly believed the “panic selling” was primarily done with. Well, we got the re-test on all three major indices. As expected, the market has stayed volatile, and sentiment has rarely been this bad. In addition, […]

Commentary provided by Todd Delay of Gamma Q Our long bias to corn and the soybean complex drove returns for February. Deteriorating weather conditions in South America ratcheted down production estimates providing support to corn and soybeans; then, as the month came to an end, it was marked with the opening of the Russian invasion […]

Commentary by GZC Investment Management In January, global energy demand was on the strong side of expectations, with oil storage in OECD drawing significantly. However, global crude oil balances suggest it is likely to ease for the coming months despite a strong backwardation in oil curves and limitation in US stocks building instrumented by Saudi […]

Commentary provided by Todd Delay of Gamma Q Breckhurst Commodity Fund (onshore) was up a net estimate of 1.29% for January, and Breckhurst Commodity Fund (Cayman) was up a net estimate of 1.25%. The risk loss in trading futures and options can be substantial. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. A long […]

With COP26 underway, the discussion returns to how close each polluting nation can get to net-zero emissions (NZE) by 2050. This, the climate scientists suggest, is the only way to limit the pace of global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels this century. Not everyone is fully committed, but the general thrust is in this […]

Commentary provided by Brent Belote of Cayler Capital We first turned bullish oil in April 2020, and I’m slowly starting to feel like it has run its course. We are still holding long positions, and prices will likely overshoot on the high side, but for the first time since the pandemic, we are starting to […]