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Advisor Commentary

Cayler Capital August 2021 Commentary

Commentary provided by Brent Belote of Cayler Capital My apologies for the delay in getting out month-end commentary, sometimes you are the hammer and sometimes you are the guy trying to launch a security token in the midst of institutional fundraising in the midst of a busy hurricane season (I think that’s how the saying […]

Alternative Investment Strategy

Seasonal Stock Depression

If it seems like September is looking like a rough period for the market you might be surprised but you shouldn’t be.  In fact, over the past 50 years, it is the worst performing month of the calendar year.  The chart below shows where the saying, “Sell in May and Go Away”, comes from referring […]

wall-street-sign
Advisor Commentary

Warrington August 2021 Market Update

Commentary provided by Mark Adams of Warrington Asset Management The S&P 500 Index (“S&P”) continued its relentless advance throughout August in the face of ongoing global crosscurrents.  The exponential spread of the Delta variant of Covid, the resurgence of Taliban control in Afghanistan, and the underreported troubles of China’s largest real estate developer (Evergrande), all provided […]

Advisor Commentary

August 2021 Flash Report

Equity markets continue to trend higher with yet another consecutive month of positive returns. Inflation fears seem to have subsided and the Fed is looking at tapering bond purchases which the market has already expressed.   We seem to be at a crossroads as the global economy determines which direction we go. What will impact […]

Managed Futures Education

Options Made Simple

For any profession, once you have done it for a while, some concepts become second nature to the point that you forget that not everyone (or very few) understands them at even a basic level.  I find that options are the concept that confuses people the most and one that is perhaps most valuable to […]

Wheat Field
Advisor Commentary

August 2021 Market Letter

Commentary provided by Chad Burlet of Third Street AG Investments Released: August 31st, 2021 In comparison to the three highly volatile months which preceded it, the price action in August was rather pedestrian. Corn, wheat and soybean futures all had monthly trading ranges below 12% and their net price changes for the month were 0 – 4%. […]

US flag
Advisor Commentary

Warrington July 2021 Market Update

Commentary provided by Mark Adams of Warrington Asset Management The net return of the S&P 500 Index (“S&P”) for July once again masked a series of domestic and global undercurrents that had the potential to negatively impact the world economy. In the end, none of those contributors had the ability to derail the ongoing rally […]

Corn field
Advisor Commentary

Gamma Q July 2021 Market Update

Commentary provided by Todd Delay of Gamma Q Further consolidation occurred in July with range bound trading for corn and soybeans. Wheat was the leader with deteriorating conditions across many areas, particularly the Northern Plains supporting price. The July WASDE report reduced wheat stocks by nearly 100 million bushels and we feel further reductions need […]

Alternative Investment Strategy

Who is Driving the Bus?

Nobody likes paying for insurance.  It is intangible as you pay up front for an unknown risk that may or may not materialize.  Many of us feel that we overpay, until we really need it.  It is perhaps not surprising then that many investors spend little effort protecting against sudden and unexpected drops in the […]

Wheat Field
Advisor Commentary

July 2021 Market Letter

Commentary provided by Chad Burlet of Third Street AG Investments Released: August 1st, 2021 We came into July on the heels of a huge price rally caused by the USDA’s June 30th acreage report. Their estimates for corn and soybean plantings were both more than a million acres below the average of the analysts’ estimates. Those rallies […]

Alternative Investment Strategy

Call me a Pessimist

All investors know the adage to “buy high and sell low” but few adhere to it.  We can see this with record volume to start July trading coming mostly from retail investors as the S&P reaches another all time high.  Perhaps I have been in the futures industry too long because when things are “too […]

Wheat Field
Advisor Commentary

June 2021 Market Letter

Commentary provided by Chad Burlet of Third Street AG Investments Released: Wednesday, June 30, 2021 In our May Market Letter we wrote about the exceptional volatility in the agricultural futures markets. June showed us that May was just a warmup. In May corn had seen a 3.5% break and a 3.9% rally in a very short time […]

Alternative Investment Strategy

Hedging an equity portfolio: Volatility

We opined in our last article that “Traditional Hedges Suck” that most traditional hedges had significant weaknesses and did not have many characteristics of a great hedge.  Volatility (long positions in VIX futures), while not perfect, has a number of these favorable characteristics for hedging an equity portfolio. The characteristics of a great equity hedge […]

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