Managed futures showed good returns for August with gains in both stock indices and bonds. Given size and liquidity, as equity and global bonds goes, so goes CTA performance; however, there were also gains in selling grain markets and taking advantage of shorter-term trends in the energy sector. Other CTA indices like the BTOP50 also showed strong gains for August and similar year to date numbers at -2.66 percent. The SG alternative risk premia was down slightly for the month.
CTA indices have not performed well versus equities this year, but style excess returns, when double digit equity benchmark returns are seen, are rarely expected. Diversification will smooth returns when there is a strong long directional market. However, the CTA benchmark is better than long duration Treasury, international and emerging market bonds, and commodity benchmark ETFs. CTA’s are proving to be an adequate diversifier and not a drag on performance relative to other diversifiers.
Investors face many choices when selecting investments. Historically, the main divide was between fundamental and technical trading. The growth of computer systems for trading has introduced a potentially larger variable that will only increase as AI advances, whether in systematic (rules-based) or discretionary (human judgment) trading. In just my 20 years working in the industry, […]
Competing head-to-head to outsmart others doing the same strategy is often a tough road. In trend following circles, giants like Man AHL, Winton, and Aspect dominate assets under management. This enables them to hire top PhDs, deploy better technology, test ideas rapidly, and outspend smaller players on sales and marketing. So how can a smaller […]
“If everything in your portfolio goes up and down at the same time, you have a bad portfolio.” This simple but powerful observation from Mark Rzepczynski, former CEO of John W. Henry & Company, is one I think of often – for both my customers and my own investing. A losing position in your portfolio […]