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Alternative Investment Strategy

A Better SPY?

Index investing is all the rage now with over a trillion dollars invested in the SPY and VOO ETFs alone.  The expectation is that low fees coupled with broad market exposure is better for your portfolio than an actively managed strategy with higher fees. One could argue that as the components of the indices attract […]

Advisor Commentary

When Good News is Bad

My favorite analogy for passive investing describes two men sitting at a bar. One is drunk and the other sober.  When the night is over the sober man leads the other home to make sure he gets there safely. Historically, hedge funds and active investors pored over financials, looked at P/E ratios, and listened to […]

Wheat Field
Advisor Commentary

April 2021 Market Letter

Commentary provided by Chad Burlet of Third Street AG Investments April had the largest one month rally of corn futures ever. Considering the 162 year history of corn futures, that is no small milestone. May Corn futures rallied $1.75¾ (31.1%) this month. In the process the front month soybean/corn ratio moved from 2.55 to 2.12 and May […]

Economics

Inflation Coming?

Want to play a “fun” game?  Simply go to Google and type “currency crisis (insert any country name)” and see your results.  Luckily for Americans, you will find that the United States is one of the few countries that seems to have avoided this designation so far.  As one of my Polish friends who immigrated […]

Agriculture

Q1 Agricultural Market Commentary

Guest post by Malinda Goldsmith of Four Seasons Commodities Agricultural markets have completed monstrous seven-year bear moves for good reason. Consider that we’ve had four years in a row of record or near-record crops, generally benign growing seasons in North America, ever-larger crops in South America, a strong dollar and a trade war which focused […]

Alternative Investment Strategy

Why Traditional Hedges Suck!

An article by Scot Billington, Covenant Capital Management Unfortunately, most traditional hedges suck. Buy and hold investing has been wildly successful since 1982; however, its adherents have had to endure two 50% drawdowns; a 25% down day; and a 14-year period of zero return.  Long term wealth is significantly impacted by drawdowns of more than […]

Alternative Investment Strategy

Futures Contracts are Easy. You are Already Using Them.

I have spent over a decade in the futures industry so I am accustomed to the blank stare when I tell people what I do. Most immediately assume it is too complicated to even try to understand.  The ironic thing is that we all intuitively understand them already. We trade them all the time. We […]

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Managed Futures Education

There is a Story behind Every Futures Program

As one of the world’s largest futures databases, we begin talking to traders often at the earliest stages of their evolution up to billions of dollars in assets. But not all beginnings are equal, as some achieve early success and others never find it at all. Part of our challenge is trying to determine which […]

Wheat Field
Advisor Commentary

Incredible Velocity Movement Between KC Wheat and Chicago Corn

Commentary provided by Chad Burlet of Third Street AG Investments As always, the month of March and the first quarter ended with the USDA’s release of their March 1 stocks report and their spring planting intentions report. These reports often have the potential to dramatically disrupt conventional wisdom and today’s report did not disappoint. For the past […]

Wheat Field
Advisor Commentary

February 2021 Grain Market Commentary

Commentary provided by Chad Burlet of Third Street AG Investments With only one trading day left in February, it’s clear that the spring acreage fight has captured the market’s attention. While old crop corn and soybeans struggled near highs that were set weeks ago, November soybeans and December corn raced to new contract highs yesterday. Through […]

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Managed Futures Education

Understanding Minimum Investment Sizes

Managers in the futures space are faced with a dilemma when they launch their programs.  They need to choose a trade level.  For an equity manager this is an easy process as they often trade 100% of the cash available and sometimes decide to use leverage.  ALL futures contracts already have the leverage built in […]

Advisor Commentary

Commodities: A Range of Opportunities for 2021 – Market Outlook

“With a new secular bull trend, Commodities are among the most attractive markets this year. This commodity environment could be an exceptional moment to be in a spread program.” The economic pendulum tends to be swinging towards commodities. The notion that low commodity prices are their own cure may be playing out in 2021[1], with […]

Alternative Investment Strategy

Market Sentiment. I feel that you should pay attention.

Market sentiment is a broad term that encompasses the prevailing feeling that investors have about a market.  Measuring this “feeling” can be accomplished in a variety of ways. CNNMoney has a Fear and Greed Index that displays this in a simple format showing when investors are most willing to take on risk or hunker down. […]

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